Today, the Spurs and the Thunder meet again in a can’t-lose face off. The Spurs’ season can only continue with a win. The Thunder, meanwhile, will be equally eager to secure their spot against the Knicks.

No Featured Bets recap today—yesterday was gap today. We’ll go right to Featured Bets.

Single-prop angles where our model shows higher probability than the odds reflect.

Keldon Johnson has been averaging 5 rebounds per game over his last ten. He generally logs just under that against the Thunder, but has only cleared 4 in two of his last five games.

It is worth noting that in both of his 4+ rebound games, Johnson got at least twenty minutes.

Dylan Harper has averaged 10 points over his last five games. The figure is slightly misleading. He scored 24 points on 5/18, but has otherwise mostly been mid single digits. In the games where he has productive, it’s come on the strength of at least 40% shooting from the field.

Last, we’ve got the Victor Wembanyama line. We’ve went with this one a few times before—and always hit—but it does give one pause. Wembanyama averages around 12 rebounds, but every once in awheile he’ll go nuts and grab 25.

Today’s Parlays

Multiple edges combined into one value-driven parlay.

We’ve got an eight legged parlay at +24594.

  • De'Aaron Fox-Over 15.5 Total Points

  • Jared McCain-Under 13.5 Total Points

  • Luke Kornet-Over 3.5 Total Rebounds

  • Keldon Johnson-Over 4.5 Total Rebounds

  • Dylan Harper-Over 10.5 Total Points

  • Luguentz Dort-Over 6.5 Total Points

  • Keldon Johnson-Over 8.5 Total Points

  • Alex Caruso-Under 9.5 Total Points

De’Aaron Fox averaged 17 points per game for the first half of this month. He’s cooled a little against the Thunder, averaging 12 over the last three. He did have a few cooler shooting nights in that mix. If he can keep things around 48% he’ll have a strong chance of clearing the over.

Jared McCain has been under 14 points in three of his last five games. He could potentially clear the under but it will probably be volume dependent.

Luke Kornet averages 8 rebounds per game and should be very capable of clearing the over. He’s been shy of 4 in his last few games but gets there often enough to have confidence.

Keldon Johnson is a little more questionable. He averages 5, which is what we need, but that cuts things a little close in an already very complicated parlay. The scoring line is a little more comfortable. He averages 13 and has been in double digits pretty consistently lately.

Dylan Harper we already mentioned has been mid single digits in most of recent games. He can get to 11 points but counting on it for this parlay might be a little uncomfortable.

Luguentz Dort averages 8 points per game. He’s been at 7 or higher in two of his last five games.

After all that, the Alex Caruso line feels like a bit of a gift. He’s averaged 17 points per game over his last five.

That’s it for today

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— Propsguru

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