It’s Tuesday.

The playoffs have only just started, and already we’re getting lots of excitement. The Timberwolves and Hawks both pulled off dramatic comebacks last night. It just goes to show that anything can happen in playoff basketball.

We’ve got more in store for you today. As always, our model has surfaced a few edges. First, let’s see how yesterday’s picks did.

Last Night’s Featured bets went 1 - 2.

We only needed 5 points from Dennis Schroder last night. That’s exactly what he gave us. He played for only 14 minutes, shooting at a miserable 20%, but it was enough.

Keon Ellis, unfortunately, did not deliver. He finished with 0 points in 9 minutes, a low-volume outcome that never gave the over a chance.

Max Strus also fell just short of the mark. We needed 4 rebounds from him. He came up with 3 in what turned out to be 27 relatively quiet minutes of playtime.

Mixed Results. How are your picks turning out so far in the post-season?

Single-prop angles where our model shows higher probability than the odds reflect.

Jerami Grant averages almost 4 rebounds per game and finds that number very regularly. His playtime has been a little unpredictable lately, which casts a bit of doubt on the line. He spent most of April injured, and is only just coming back to form.

The good news, for this prop, anyway, is that 3 rebounds is not a huge ask. He should be able to get there as long as his minutes are steady.

Shaedon Sharpe is in a similar situation. He’s been averaging 4 rebounds for the season. In January, a 3 rebound prop on him would almost be a given. Right now, it isn’t. He was out for all of March, and has been less consistent around the boards since his return.

Some of it may be playtime. He was averaging 32 minutes per game before his injury. Since his return, Sharpe has averaged closer to 20.

It’s a good line in that he is very capable of hitting it. We just need a little bit of January basketball out of Sharpe to make this one possible.

Last we have Luke Kornet collecting 5 rebounds. That’s never a small ask, but the Spurs’ center is very reliable when it comes to collecting boards. He averages 6 and tends to stay pretty consistently around that number.

Multiple edges combined into one value-driven parlay.

We’ve got a four legged parlay at +1117.

Payton Pritchard is a consistent 46% shooter who averaged 17 points for the season—and 20 over his last ten games. As long as his field goal percentage holds, he just needs volume to clear the over.

And Quentin Grimes, as a 45% shooter who averaged 10 points in his last ten games, is generally very consistent at making it to double digits. The question is just how often the ball will be in his hands this post-season.

You could say something similar for Adem Bona. Bona is definitely a role player who averages a modest but effective 15 minutes of play time. He is an effective 60% shooter who won’t need many looks at all to clear 5 points.

Finally, Nikola Vucevic is a 49% scorer who averaged 15 points per game for the season. Against Philly, he’s averaged 12 points per game, implying at least, that the matchups are friendly enough for him to find his way to 9 points tonight.

We do the modeling; the community sharpens the edge.

Explore more picks and live model insights across today’s slate on our Quick Bets and Game Pages.

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We’ll be back in your inbox tomorrow with updated edges. Enjoy your Tuesday!

— Propsguru