The Rockets survived—and thrived—against the Lakers last night, even without Kevin Durant. That, plus a high-profile scuffle in the Nuggets/Timberwolves game kept things interesting over the weekend.

Things are chippy out there!

We’ve got more to cover today. First, let’s see how yesterday’s picks played out.

Last Night’s Featured bets delivered with 2 hits and 1 miss.

Nikola Vucevic found an impressive 5 rebounds. Unfortunately, it just barely fell short of our over.

Payton Pritchard shattered our over with 32 points, shooting 57% from the field.

And thanks to Jaylen Brown, we’ve got ourselves another winning record. We needed 6 rebounds. He delivered 7.

How’d you do?

Single-prop angles where our model shows higher probability than the odds reflect.

Franz Wagner can—and often does—find his way to 19 points. He averaged 20 for the season, though he’s been kept to about 17 over his last ten games. He’s shooting 50% the field and is consistent enough to meet this over without anything remarkable happening.

Goga Bitadze has averaged 6 rebounds over his last ten games. His limiting factor is definitely play time. Some games he plays for twenty minutes. Others, just ten. In either case, he’s capable of clearing the over, but the longer he’s out there, the safe this line becomes.

Finally, Anthony Black. He’s been slightly subdued lately, going from 15 points per game for the season, to just 10 over his last ten games. In either case, this line is well within reach.

Black’s shooting has been off lately. He shot 16% from the field in his last two games. Even then, he threatened 10 points both times. He can clear this over with a only a modest performance, though we’d love to see him heat up a bit.

Multiple edges combined into one value-driven parlay.

We’ve got a three legged parlay at +646.

Mark Williams averages 8 rebounds for the season, though he’s been kept to 6 per game over his last ten outings. It’s a plausible line, to be sure, as long as he’s getting good matchups, and enough playtime.

Jaylin Williams can easily nab 10 rebounds in a game under the right circumstances. That said, during the post-season, his playtime has varied.

He averaged 20 minutes during the regular season, but has been getting more like 10-15 in the post-season. He can grab 5 rebounds in either case, though we’ll be more comfortable with this parlay if he’s consistently out there.

Finally, SGA. Last year’s MVP scored 42 points in his last game, so this under is by no means “safe.” That said, he’s averaged 28 points per game in his last 10 showings and 30 against the Suns throughout the season.

It’s always a risk to bet against SGA, but at least this time, it is a calculated risk.

We do the modelling; the community sharpens the edge.

Explore more picks and live model insights across today’s slate on our Quick Bets and Game Pages.

Join the conversation on Discord to share slips, compare reads, and sharpen your edge. You can be part of a growing community focused on smarter prop betting.

We’ll be back in your inbox tomorrow with updated edges. Enjoy the start of your week!

— Propsguru