Jalen Williams exited in the third quarter last night with what early reports suggest is a hamstring injury. Details are still limited, but that’s two days in a row of high-profile injuries. Basketball is a rough game. Still, fans and players alike would hate to see a repeat of last year’s injury-filled post-season.

We’ve got more props to look at today. First, let’s see how yesterday’s picks did.

Last Night’s Featured bets delivered with 2 hits and 1 miss.

Tristan da Silva’s performance last night didn’t do much to pad his stat line. He managed 3 points in seventeen minutes of play, while shooting 30% from the field.

Cason Wallace at least came through for us. He claimed 6 rebounds in an otherwise quiet—and scoreless—game.

Luke Kornet was also a beast at the boards. He helped us to a winning record with 9 rebounds.

It was a pretty decent night for us. How did your picks do?

Single-prop angles where our model shows higher probability than the odds reflect.

The nice thing about a 5 or over scoring line is that pretty much anyone in the NBA is capable of meeting it—under the right conditions. This is certainly true of Dennis Schroder. He averages nearly 10 points for the season, and 8 points over his last ten games.

As a 40% shooter, he’s not necessarily the most dangerous man on the court. However, with decent playtime and a few looks he should be able to clear the over.

Max Strus, meanwhile, is very consistently over 4 rebounds. He averages 5 over the last ten games.

Miles McBride is a minutes dependent scorer. When he’s getting playtime, he frequently threatens 20 points. Lately, his opportunities have been a little inconsistent. That said, he’s still averaging nearly 7 points over his last ten games.

All three of these props have excellent logic behind them. That said, this is the playoffs. What should happen, and what does happen are not always the same.

Today’s Parlays

Multiple edges combined into one value-driven parlay.

We’ve got a three legged parlay at +743.

We like this one because it basically takes two of our Featured Picks, and adds Sam Merrill to the equation. We already discussed Max Strus and his consistency around the rim. Same for Dennis Schroder and his scoring potential.

Sam Merrill is comparably consistent on the offensive end. He averaged 11 points over the last ten games on a modest 37% shooting. Ideally, that field goal percentage would be a little higher, but he’s clearly getting enough looks to make it work.

Interestingly, he averaged only 36% shooting against the Raptors (tonight’s opponent) over the season and still managed to score 12 points per game.

Bottom line? Nothing crazy needs to happen for this parlay to work. Sometimes, that is about all you can ask.

That’s it for today

We do the modeling; the community sharpens the edge.

Explore more picks and live model insights across today’s slate on our Quick Bets and Game Pages.

Join the conversation on Discord to share slips, compare reads, and sharpen your edge. You can be part of a growing community focused on smarter prop betting.

We’ll be back in your inbox tomorrow with updated edges. Enjoy your Thursday!

— Propsguru

Reply

Avatar

or to participate

Keep Reading