Saturday is finally here! With it, the playoffs.

The Suns sent the Warriors home last night. And Hornets fans will also be disappointed to see the Magic entering the playoffs in the eighth seed.

We’ll take a look at some playoff props in just a moment.

As always, our model has surfaced a few edges. First, let’s see how yesterday’s picks did.

Last Night’s Featured bets went 0 for 2.

Tristan da Silva couldn’t get there on either of our overs. We mentioned yesterday that he was efficient enough to clear our scoring over—provided he got enough looks. That proved to be true. He shot 50% from the field, but off only five attempts, for a total of 5 points.

We also needed at least 4 rebounds. He logged 3.

Tough night for him and for us. How did your picks do?

Single-prop angles where our model shows higher probability than the odds reflect.

Jalen Brunson is the primary scorer for the Knicks, with consistently high usage. And he has always shown up in the playoffs. His shot volume is stable, and in a playoff setting, that role should expand even more. If that volume holds, the over has a clear path.

Every under on Nikola Jokic is a bold under. He rebounds at a high level, averaging 12.9 this season, but his output is still influenced by game flow and distribution across the lineup. At 13, this line assumes consistent board control. If rebounds are shared or pace slows, as it does in the playoffs, the under has a path.

Ayo Dosunmu has been a steady scoring option, averaging 14.8 PPG on 51.7% shooting. The role is there, and when he’s getting minutes in the high 20s to low 30s, he consistently finds his way into double digits. At 13.5, this line sits below his typical output. As long as the volume holds, the over has a clear path.

Multiple edges combined into one value-driven parlay.

Today we’ve got a two legged parlay at +226. Bruce Brown is a volume dependent scorer who shoots at an efficient 47%. While this parlay depends, in part, on him getting enough looks, it shouldn’t be too hard for Brown to find his way to 7 points. He averages 8 points per game and has only been under 7 in two of his last ten.

Ayo Dosunmu has a slightly larger hill to climb. He is equally up to the task. He averages 15 points per game off nearly 52% shooting and stays relentlessly close to that range.

The last time he scored under 12 points was on 3/7.

There are no guarantees, of course, but this is a very approachable parlay.

We do the modelling; the community sharpens the edge.

Explore more picks and live model insights across today’s slate on our Quick Bets and Game Pages.

Join the conversation on Discord to share slips, compare reads, and sharpen your edge. You can be part of a growing community focused on smarter prop betting.

We’ll be back in your inbox tomorrow with updated edges. Enjoy your Saturday!

— Propsguru