Another evening of intrigue and adventure in the NBA. The Thunder formally secured home court advantage for the playoffs. Today, we’ll take a look at how yesterday’s picks did. Then, we’ll look ahead to tonight’s games. Let’s get into it.
Featured Bets Recap
Last Night’s Featured bets went 0 for 3.
Franz Wagner fell just short of our over with a 17 point performance that included an injury scare.
We didn’t get there with Anthony Black either. The guard finished with 7 points on a miserable 25% shooting.
Not even the Joker could redeem our record. He managed a triple double on 62% shooting, but his volume could never get him to the line.
A bit of variance on the wrong side of the slate. How did your other picks do?
Today’s Featured Bets
Single-prop angles where our model shows higher probability than the odds reflect.
Quentin Grimes has seen reduced minutes this Spring. While he’s historically capable of threatening 20 points per game on 46% shooting, he was kept to single digits for most of March. Even more subdued on the offensive end, he should be able to easily find his way to 11 points provided he gets enough looks.
Leonard Miller is more of a toss-up. He averages 4 rebounds per game but has been consistently near 7-8 per game recently. The question is whether that elevated role holds.
Jarace Walker averages around 12 points on 42% shooting and has only rarely cleared 15 points per game this Spring. His scoring remains tied to efficiency rather than volume, which keeps this line slightly overstated.
Today’s Parlays
Multiple edges combined into one value-driven parlay.
We’ve got a three legged parlay at +760, with a big focus on Leonard Miller.
He’s averaged 14 points and 7.5 rebounds over the last six weeks. An efficient 52% shooter, Miller’s scoring is based heavily on volume.
We’ve also got a reasonably safe under on Collin Sexton. He’s an efficient 48% shooter, but averages 15 points per game. It’s been seven games since he’s even threatened 21 points.
That’s it for today
We do the modeling; the community sharpens the edge.
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We’ll be back in your inbox tomorrow with updated edges. Enjoy your Thursday!
— Propsguru
