Happy Sunday Friends. Yesterday’s Denver-Spurs matchup was everything we hoped it would be, and more. Easily one of the games of the season. As always, we have updated edges for today. First, let’s recap yesterday’s picks.
Featured Bets Recap
We went 1–2 on featured bets yesterday, with two narrow misses.
Harrison Barnes fell just short of the line with 8 points. The role was there, but volume couldn’t get him over.
Luke Kornet also narrowly missed with 5 rebounds. With rebounds split between Jokic and Wembayama, his opportunities stayed limited.
Bam Adebayo was the lone hit, finishing with 14 points. His scoring fell back to his typical range to seal the under.
How did your picks do?
Today’s Featured Bets
Single-prop angles where our model shows higher probability than the odds reflect.
Luke Kennard is a low-volume perimeter scorer, averaging 8.1 PPG. His scoring is tied to efficiency rather than consistent shot volume, and even with major injuries to the Lakers rotation, his role is mostly off ball. The under holds without more shot volume.
Rui Hachimura could also benefit from the injuries to the lakers rotation, but he’s another player whose scoring is tied to efficiency rather than volume. While he can go off, he needs a spike in volume with efficiency intact to break the under.
And finally, Thomas Bryant is a question of “will he get minutes?”. He’s averaging 12 mins on the court this season, and his scoring is tied to usage. Against the Pacers aggressive style, there may be more minutes on offer but the under holds the edge.
Today’s Parlays
Multiple edges combined into one value-driven parlay.
We’ve got a two legged parlay at +239.
Miles Bridges is a primary scorer averaging 17.2 PPG. His volume is consistent enough to clear this line against the wolves.
Anthony “Ant Man” Edwards is a superstar number 1 guard averaging 28.9 PPG. Against Charlotte’s weak perimeter defense, we expect his scoring to be stable, clearing the over.
That’s it for today
We do the modeling; the community sharpens the edge.
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We’ll be back in your inbox tomorrow with updated edges. Happy Easter Sunday!
— Propsguru
