Welcome back to Props Daily. Our model has surfaced a few edges the market hasn’t fully priced in.

Last Night’s Featured bets delivered mixed results.

Gui Santos edged out our pick with a single point. We needed 13 or fewer. He scored 14. Rui Hachimura, meanwhile, did not play last night at all. He was ruled out shortly before the game due to injury.

How did your picks do?

These are single-prop angles where our model shows higher probability than the odds reflect.

Reigning league MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is admittedly a hard man to bet against. That said, an under 30 on any player is always plausible, and Alexander has scored in the 20s or lower in three of his last six games.

Devin Carter is a little more straightforward. He averages only 6 points per game, though he’s been stretching into the upper teens lately with heightened minutes.

Finally, Luka Doncic at -105 to score 32 points or fewer. Another hard man to bet against, he did average 27 points per game in February.

Today’s Parlays

We’ve got a two legged parlay with +266 combined odds.

  • Luka Doncic- Under 32.5 Points

  • Devin Carter- Under 11.5 Points

Great for people who appreciated the logic of our Featured Bets. This parlay expects the same outcomes that we picked above. The only difference is that both things need to happen in the same night.

Stay in the Game

We do the modelling; the community sharpens the edge.

Explore additional picks live model insights across today’s slate on our Quick Bets and Game Pages.

Join the conversation on Discord to share slips, compare reads, and sharpen your edge. You can be part of a growing community focused on smarter prop betting.

We’ll be back in your inbox tomorrow with updated edges.

— Propsguru

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