Happy Friday! And welcome back to Props Daily.

Lebron and Bronny James authored the first father-son assist in NBA history last night. That, plus Jayson Tatum’s return to Madison Square Garden—where he tore his Achilles last year—made for an emotional evening. We have a big slate ahead of us today. As always, our model has surfaced a few edges. First, let’s see how yesterday’s picks did.

Last Night’s Featured bets delivered with 2 hits and 1 miss.

Quentin Grimes easily cleared our over, putting up a hot 20 point performance that came from simple efficient scoring.

Leonard Miller blew our momentum with 11 rebounds. Miller played for fifteen minutes more than he usually does, and made good use of the time.

Finally, Jarace Walker. We needed 15 or fewer from him. He scored 14.

All in all, it wasn’t a bad round of picks. Especially after we went 0-3 yesterday. How did your other picks do?

Single-prop angles where our model shows higher probability than the odds reflect.

Franz Wagner is an efficient shooter who just came off a solid 17 point performance on 54% shooting. All he needs is volume to clear 19 points.

Gui Santos can be harder to gauge. He’s a streaky shooter whose offensive production varies radically despite steady minutes. He’s coming into tonight’s game still recovering from a minor injury. This might keep him closer to his 9 point average.

Then there is Cooper Flagg. He’s had a brilliant rookie season, which included a 51 point game just last week. He’s cooled off a bit this week. On Wednesday, he managed only 11 points, shooting 22%.

Today’s Parlays

Multiple edges combined into one value-driven parlay.

We’ve got a three legged parlay at +760.

Our Featured Pick on Franz Wagner required only 18 points from him. The parlay asks a little more, but the same logic applies. If he gets enough volume, Wagner can absolutely find his way to 21 points.

Collin Sexton did come out with a strong 27 point for performance last night. However, it was the first time in weeks that he cleared 20 points. Even a good night could see him comfortably hit our under.

And Anthony Black is generally an easy lock for 13 points. He has been nursing an injury recently, which has kept him at limited minutes. If he can stay on the court and find his spots, he should have no trouble completing the parlay.

That’s it for today

We do the modelling; the community sharpens the edge.

Explore more picks and live model insights across today’s slate on our Quick Bets and Game Pages.

Join the conversation on Discord to share slips, compare reads, and sharpen your edge. You can be part of a growing community focused on smarter prop betting.

We’ll be back in your inbox tomorrow with updated edges. Enjoy your Friday!

— Propsguru

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