The Magic are headed to Game 7 after a a gut wrenching choke job. They missed 27 of their last 28 field goals—yes, you read that right—in a stunning meltdown that will force them into a winner takes all bout at the Pistons’ home court.

We’ve got more props to cover today. Before that, let’s see how yesterday’s picks did.

Last Night’s Featured bets delivered with 1 hit and 2 misses.

Jaylon Tyson managed 4 rebounds in an otherwise quiet sixteen minutes. It was enough to clear our over.

And while we asked very little of Dennis Schroder, he gave us even less. He did not grab a single rebound in sixteen minutes of playtime.

Unfortunately, we struck out on Sam Merrill as well. He scored only 2 points off 20% shooting last night.

It just goes to show you that regular season norms don’t always scale smoothly into the post-season. How did your picks go?

Single-prop angles where our model shows higher probability than the odds reflect.

Getting 12 points out of Derrick White is often well within reach. He averages 17 for the season on the strength of 40% shooting. His field goal percentage is about where it’s been for the year, but his scoring line has dipped slightly to 10 points per game in his last ten performances.

The good news is that he averages 20 against Philly, suggesting there are some favorable matchups he can take advantage of.

And Payton Pritchard has been a monster lately. He is averaging 20 points per game in his last ten outings. He’s been a little quieter against Philly this season, averaging 9, but based on recent performance, this is a very comfortable line.

Finally, Jaylen Brown is a lethally efficient 47.7% shooter who has been averaging 30 points per game all season. Admittedly, he could have a good night and still not score 26 points. Still, this is a reasonably safe line.

Today’s Parlays

Multiple edges combined into one value-driven parlay.

Finally, we’ve got a monster-sized parlay for you. This six -legged beast has +4757 odds, and is not for the faint of heart.

It goes like this:

Nikola Vucevic is easily capable of finding his way to both lines. He’s been sitting at 8 points and 5 rebounds per game over his last ten performances. If you look a little farther out, you’ll see he’s been scoring even deeper for most of the season.

Jaylen Brown does have a lot of work to do if he is going to score 27 points. Fortunately, he’s just the man for the job. He’s been averaging 30 points per game over his last ten, and been sitting at about that number for the season.

Derrick White has been averaging 10 points per game off 40% shooting recently, but was closer to 20 points for most of the season. He won’t need to go bonkers to get to 13.

And Payton Pritchard has been right around 20 points per game for the season. The only real asterisk is that he’s only been averaging 9 points against Philly.

Obviously, a lot needs to go right for this parlay to play out. Still, each step is reasonable.

That’s it for today

We do the modelling; the community sharpens the edge.

Explore more picks and live model insights across today’s slate on our Quick Bets and Game Pages.

Join the conversation on Discord to share slips, compare reads, and sharpen your edge. You can be part of a growing community focused on smarter prop betting.

We’ll be back in your inbox tomorrow with updated edges. Enjoy your Saturday!

— Propsguru

Reply

Avatar

or to participate

Keep Reading