Happy Saturday! One more sleep until we start sweating props again.

We’ve got a full Week 6 slate tomorrow, but the biggest news this week has come out of Philadelphia.

Jalen Hurts has been ruled out against Carolina after doctors discovered a blood clot in his calf. The Eagles say a follow-up scan showed the clot had moved, so they’re keeping him out while they decide on treatment.

It’s worrying news, and hopefully Hurts makes a full recovery.  

For the Eagles, the timing couldn’t be much worse.

They’ve lost three straight games, Saquon Barkley is also out, and Tanner McKee will now start against the Panthers. Philadelphia desperately needs a win, but Carolina has looked much better with Bryce Young this season.  

Elsewhere, the Chiefs host the Chargers in a matchup that looked a lot more exciting before the season started.

Kansas City is unbeaten at 4–0, while Justin Herbert and the Chargers are somehow 0–5. Another loss would probably be lights out for Los Angeles .  

And we get an early kickoff in London, where the 4–1 Jaguars face the 1–4 Texans.

Houston finally got its first win last week and has now traded for Marvin Harrison Jr. It was crazy to see the Cardinals give up on him so quickly, but he might be a game changing weapon for C.J Stroud.

We’ll get into Sunday’s picks tomorrow.

Today, though, we’re talking about some big changes to NBA prop betting ahead of the new season.

These changes could affect which bets books offer, how we build parlays, and how products like ours operate.

Remember the Jontay Porter betting scandal and the investigation into Malik Beasley last year? Well, the NBA is making changes to prop betting following those controversies.

The league is removing certain bets that players can influence with just one play. Bets on the first basket, first rebound, first assist, first steal, and opening tip will now not be offered. Bets on players missing specific shots are also being removed.

The changes also affect parlays. Books will no longer allow certain combinations of unders on the same player, like betting on someone to finish under 10.5 points and under 4.5 rebounds in the same parlay.

The idea is to make it harder for anyone to manipulate betting outcomes.

So what does that mean for this season?

Traditional props like Jalen Brunson over 25.5 points or Nikola Jokic over 11.5 rebounds should remain available. For most of us, the biggest difference will be fewer niche markets and more restrictions on certain parlays.

Some of that betting activity could also move toward points, rebounds, and assists, which are already some of the main markets our NBA models cover

We’ll need to account for the new restrictions when generating parlays. We’ll also be watching how sportsbooks adjust their lines and odds as betting activity shifts. We’ll be tracking those changes and comparing them against our projections.

We’ll also be keeping a close eye on how this plays out once the season starts.

Saturday is really about seeing what happens to the lines.

A prop that looks interesting today can become much less attractive after a line moves, while another can become more interesting as new information hits the market.

You can follow the latest props on Quick Bets and keep an eye on Trending Props to see which markets are starting to attract attention.

Join the conversation on Discord to share slips, compare reads, and talk through the upcoming slate with the Propsguru community.

Tomorrow, we’ll be back at noon ET with our Featured Bets and the rest of our Sunday card.

Until then, enjoy your Saturday.

— Propsguru