Got you! Happy April Fool’s day.
Today’s a great reminder that Vibes are how sportsbooks get you. They use data, you should too. As always, we have edges to start Q2. But first, let’s see yesterday’s picks.
Featured Bets Recap
1-2 on Featured Bets. Eason came through, but Dieng and Jenkins missed.
Tari Eason got the activity and was efficient last night. He put up 17 on 60% shooting for our sole hit.
Ousmane Dieng was a miss with 10 rebounds, well above his baseline. He added 11 points and 5 assists to help lift the Bucks over the Mavericks.
Daniss Jenkins was another miss with 21 Points. We were banking on a dip in efficiency that never came. He shot 55.6% from the field, 50% from three, and 100% from the line.
Some misses, we go again. How did your picks do?
Today’s Featured Bets
Single-prop angles where our model shows higher probability than the odds reflect.
Gui Santos has been on a good run lately (16.6 PPG on 51.9% shooting over his last 10) with increased usage. This line leans toward that recent form rather than his typical output (8.9 PPG). The under holds the edge.
Kam Jones’ role and minutes don’t support this line. His recent form has actually seen him play an average of 13.3 minutes for 2 PPG on 20% shooting. This line is built for a spike, we’re taking the under.
Cody Williams has also had a good run lately with increased role and usage, but his scoring has been highly volatile. He put up 24 against Denver the last time out but then went 0-9 the next game. Without hitting his ceiling, the under holds.
Today’s Parlays
Multiple edges combined into one value-driven parlay.
We’ve got a two legged parlay at +252.
Alexandre Sarr is averaging 7.4 rebounds this season, so this is up his alley. Against a 76ers team that plays through the paint, he should have the opportunity to clear this.
Kelly Oubre Jr. is a consistent scorer for the 76ers, he’a also facing the Wizards team who give up a lot of scoring on the wing. If efficiency holds, the over is very much in play.
That’s it for today
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We’ll be back in your inbox tomorrow with updated edges. Happy new month!
— Propsguru
