The Spurs finally landed a blow against the Knicks earlier this week. San Antonio fans rejoiced—particularly as the win came as famously challenging away game at Madison Square Garden.

To really change the momentum of this series, however, they’ll need to follow up with another W tonight. Can they do it, or was Monday night a small stumble on the Knicks’ path to a historic title?

Time will tell. For us, it’s not about winners and losers, but simple props. We’ve got some more of those for you today. Let’s take a look.

Single-prop angles where our model shows higher probability than the odds reflect.

Miles McBride averaged 2 rebounds during the regular season. He’s dipped to 1.5 during the post-season, but it’s largely minutes dependent. In the games where he’s picked up 2 or more rebounds, he was also on the floor for around twenty minutes.

Jordan Clarkson at 4 points is no major ask. He was at 10 for the regular season, and has dipped to around 6 in the Playoffs. His FG% has held but his minutes have fluctuated. Ideally, we will see him good looks. Either way though, it won’t take a lot to get him to 4 points.

Last, we’ll need 7 points out of Keldon Johnson. He averaged 10 during the Conference Finals, but he’s at closer to 4 against the Knicks.

The dip has mostly been efficiency related. He shot 25% from the field in two of his last three games, which dragged his average down a bit.

He can absolutely get to 7 points simply by having an ordinary night.

Today’s Parlays

Multiple edges combined into one value-driven parlay.

We’ve got a four legged parlay at +1853.

Miles McBride is generally good for at least 6 points. He averaged 12 during the regular season but has been closer to 6 during the post-season. As is often the case, the dip owes mostly to reduced minutes.

He can definitely still clear this over as long as his shooting holds, and he’s getting looks.

We covered Jordan Clarkson in our Featured Bets section. The first line had him at 4 points, but 5 is still very achievable.

And the same is true of Miles McBride. Before, we needed 2 rebounds from him. This parlay requires 3. It’s a slight stretch given his 1.5 post-season average. That said, 3 is never a massive ask.

That’s it for today

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We’ll be back in your inbox tomorrow with updated edges. Enjoy your Wednesday!

— Propsguru

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